Navigating The Market

Navigating The Market

Mega-Cap Volatility Persists Amid Tight Liquidity

Michael J. Kramer's avatar
Michael J. Kramer
Oct 30, 2025
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MICHAEL KRAMER AND THE CLIENTS OF MOTT CAPITAL OWN MSFT, GOOGL, AAPL, AND AMZN

3 Actionable Takeaways

  • Meta’s steep drop reflects growing investor concern over negative free cash flow and potential overinvestment in AI, mirroring past metaverse missteps.

  • The broader market remains in rotation mode, swinging between mega-cap and equal-weight performance due to limited liquidity.

  • Volatility compression post-Fed and earnings could reverse as dispersion trades unwind, likely pushing index volatility (VIX) higher.

Meta’s stock plunged over 12% as concerns mounted over rising capital expenditures and a shift away from its historical cash-cow model, echoing investor reactions from its 2022 metaverse spending spree. Meanwhile, broader market dynamics show sectoral rotation, a decline in implied volatility, and a potential rise in index volatility as dispersion trades begin to unwind post-earnings.

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