Navigating The Market

Navigating The Market

Backwardation In Volatility Signals A Market On Edge

Michael J. Kramer's avatar
Michael J. Kramer
Mar 06, 2026
∙ Paid

Key Takeaways

  • VIX Curve Backwardation Signals Potential Volatility Crush: The VIX term structure is in backwardation with the nine-day VIX at 27 exceeding the three-month VIX at 25.6, suggesting front-end implied volatility may be getting ahead of itself and setting up for a possible sharp reset as early as Monday.

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